Publications
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Xu, X., Dailey, A. B., Peoples-Sheps, M>., Talbott, Evelyn O., Li, N., Roth, J., (2009) Birth Weight as a Risk Factor for Breast Cancer: A Meta-Analysis of 18 Epidemiological Studies. Journal of Women's Health, Vol. 18, Number 8,1169-1178.
- Purpose: Birth weight has been identified as a birth-related factor associated with the risk of breast cancer. However, the evidence is inconsistent.
Morse, S. B., Zheng, H., Tang, Y., Roth, J. (2009) Early school age outcomes of late preterm infants. Pediatrics, 123(4),e622-e629.
- Purpose:Late preterm infants represent a significant portion of preterm deliveries. Until recently, these infants have received little attention because of assumptions that they carry minimal risk for long-term morbidities. The purpose of this study was to compare prekindergarten and kindergarten outcomes among healthy late preterm infants, 34 to 36 weeks' gestation at birth, and healthy term infants, 37 to 41 weeks' gestation at birth.
Figlio, D., Hamersma, S., and Roth, J. (2009) Does prenatal WIC participation improve birth outcomes? New evidence from Florida. Journal of Public Economics, 93, 235-245.
- Purpose:We study the effects of prenatal receipt of nutritional and educational services provided by the Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) on birth outcomes.
Gueorguieva, R., Morse, S. B., and Roth, J. (2009). Length of prenatal participation in WIC and risk of delivering a small for gestational age infant: Florida, 1996-2004. Maternal and Child Health Journal, online.
- Objective:To assess the association between lenght of prenatal participation in WIC and a marker of infant morbidity. By focusing on small for gestational age, we consider one of the possible pathways through which prenatal nutrition effects fetal growth.
Rao, P.V., Li, Haihong, L., and Roth, J.(2008) Recursive Path Models when Both Predictor and Response Variables are Categorical. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, 2, 663-676.
- Objective:In this paper, we develop an approach for recursive path analysis when both predictor and response variables are categorical. The approach defines direct and indirect effects in terms of relative risks and odds ratios and can be used with common categorical data models such as Poisson, Probit and Logistic regression models. The method can be implemented using standard statistical software such as the GENMOD procedure of SAS.
Liu, X. and Roth, J. (2008). Development and validation of an infant morbidity index using latent variable models. Statistics in Medicine, 27, 971-989.
- Objective: In this paper, we develop extended latent variable (LV) models and modified Gauss-Newton algorithms for multiple multinomial morbidity outcomes with complete responses. By assuming the marginal distribution of the LV to be log-normal, we model the conditional probability of each outcome as a nonlinear function of the LV, which has properties similar to the logistic function. The estimated generalized nonlinear least-square method is used to solve equations for parameters of interest.
Kim, B., Carter, R. L., Rao, P. V., Ariet, M., and Resnick, M. B. (2006). ent_pubs/kim_standardized_risk.pdf">Standardized risk and description of results from multivariable modeling of binary response. Biometric Journal, 48(1), 54-66.
- Description: Justify and recommend using standardized risks, i.e., standardized probabilities, which do provide information about prevalence, in addition to adjusted odds ratios, for pairwise comparisons of the levels of a significant factor. Illustrate the advantages of generally reporting standardized risk estimates, in the context of assessing the effect of blood lead levels during the preschool years on occurrence of academic problems in kindergarten.
Morse, S. B., Wu, S. S., Ma, C., Ariet, M., Resnick, M. B., and Roth, J. (2006). Racial and gender differences in the viability of extremely low birth weight infants: a population-based study. Pediatrics, 117, 106-112.
- Purpose:Provides a race- and gender-specific model for predicting 1-year survival rates for extremely low birth (ELBW) infants by using population-based data.
Tang, Y., Ma, C., Cui, W., Chang, V., Ariet, M., Morse, S. B., Resnick, M. B., and Roth, J. (2006). The risk of birth defects in multiple births: a population-based study. Maternal and Child Health Journal, 10(1), 75-81.
- Purpose:Determine if multiple births have higher risks of birth defects compared to singletons and to identify types of birth defects that occur more frequently in multiple births, controlling for seven sociodemographic and health-related variables.
Cui, W., Ma, C., Tang, Y., Chang, V., Rao, P.V., Ariet, M., Resnick, M. B., and Roth, J. (2005). Sex differences in birth defects: a study of opposite-sex twins. Birth Defects Research (Part A), 73, 876-880.
- Purpose:Utilize a statewide population of opposite-sex twins to determine whether there are sex differences in birth defects between twin siblings.
Wu, S. S., Ma, C., Carter, R. L., Ariet, M., Feaver, E. A., Resnick, M. B., & Roth, J. (2004). Risk factors for infant maltreatment: A population-based study. Child Abuse and Neglect, 28, 1253-1264.
- Purpose:Identify perinatal and sociodemographic risk factors in mothers and infants that were associated with maltreatment during the first year of life.
Roth, J., Figlio, D. N., Chen, Y., Carter, R. L., Ariet, M., Resnick, M. B., & Morse, S. B. (2004) Maternal and infant factors associated with excess kindergarten costs. Pediatrics, 114(3), 720-728.
- Purpose:Estimate state expenditures at kindergarten from infant and maternal medical and sociodemographic factors that are known at birth.
Roth, J. & Morse, S. B. (2004). Programs and services supporting infants born prematurely: comments on Als, Westrup, and Mallik and Spiker. In: Tremblay, R. E., Barr, R. G., Peters, R. DeV., eds. Encyclopedia on Early Childhood Development. Montreal: Centre for Excellence for Early Childhood Development.
Guoerguiva, R. V., Carter, R., Shah, N., L, Mahan, C. S., Ariet, M., Roth, J., Thompson, D., Teng, C. H., Bucciarelli, R., Curran, J., & Resnick, M. B. (2003). A risk assessment screening for very low birthweight. Maternal and Child Health Journal, 7(2), 127-136.
- Description:Develop a risk-assessment screening tool for very low birth weight and to compare our empirically derived tool used by the State of Florida.
Thompson, J. R., Carter, R. L., Edwards, A. R., Roth, J., Ariet, M., Ross, N., & Resnick, M. B. (2003). A population based study of the effects of birth weight on early developmental delay or disability in children. American Journal of Perintology, 20(6), 321-332.
- Objectives:What are the population survival percentages by birth weight? Given survival, what effect did birth weight have on the odds that a child would have a developmental delay or disability? What should the threshold birthweight value be, if any, for all infants to be automatically referred for evaluation to determine if there is a need for intervention services? What effect did certain social demographic, behavioral, and/or perinatal health factors have on a child's chance of developing a developmental delay or disability?
Tekwe, C. D., Carter, R. L., Ma, C., Algina, J., Lucas, M., Roth, J., Ariet, M., Fisher, T., & Resnick, M. B.(2002). An empirical comparison of statistical models for value-added assessment of school performance. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics. 29(1), 11-36.
- Description:Considers the problem of record linkage in the situation where there is only non-unique identifiers, like names, sex, race, etc., as common identifiers in the database to be linked.
Roth, J., Crans, G. C., Carter, R. L., Ariet, M., & Resnick, M. B. (2001). Effect of high school course-taking and grades on passing a college placement test. The High School Journal, 84(2), 72-87.
- Description:Determine how course choice, grades, tenth grade standardized test score results, race, and gender affected performance on a computerized placement test administered upon entry to a community college.
Gueoguiva, R. V., Carter, R. L., Ariet, M., Roth, J., Mahan, C. S., & Resnick, M. B. (2001). Effect of teenage pregnancy on education disabilities in kindergarten. American Journal of Epidemiology, 154(30), 212-220.
- Description:Assess the independent effect of teenage pregnancy on educational disabilities and educational problems in a total population of children who entered kindergarten in Florida in 1992-1994 and investigate controlling for potentially confounding factors affects the relation between teenage pregnancies and poor outcome.
Resnick, M. B., Gueorguiva, R. V., Carter, R. L., Ariet, M., Sun, Y., Roth, J., Bucciarelli, R. L., Curran, J. S., & Mahan, C. S. (1999). The impact of low birth weight, perinatal conditions and sociodemographic factors on educational outcomes in kindergarten. Pediatrics, 104, e 74.
- Description:Assess the relative effects and the impact of perinatal and sociodemographic risk factors on long-term morbidity within a total birth population in Florida.
Roth, J., Hendrickson, J., Schilling, M., & Stowell, D. W. (1998). The risk of teen mothers having low birth weigh babies: implications of recent medical research for school health personnel. Journal of School Health, 68, 271-275.
- Description:Review recent medical research on the relationship between young maternal age and the incidence of low birth weight infants.
Roth, J., Resnick, M. B., Ariet, M., Carter, R. L., Eitzman, D. V., Curran, J. S., Cupoli, M., Mahan, C. S., Bucciarelli, R. L. (1995). Changes in survival patterns of very low-birth-weight infants from 1980 to 1993. Archives of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, 149, 1311-1317.
- Objective:To determine survival patterns among very low-birth-weight (<1500 grams) infants between 1980 and 1993.
